Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.009176 0.010358 0.011656 0.013191 0.014960 0.016940 0.019333
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.007367 0.008975 0.010901 0.013393 0.016555 0.020464 0.025708
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.006296 0.008059 0.010294 0.013365 0.017525 0.023032 0.030991
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.005348 0.007108 0.009440 0.012800 0.017591 0.024292 0.034582
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.004788 0.006578 0.009040 0.012739 0.018263 0.026384 0.039569
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.004539 0.006431 0.009131 0.013350 0.019939 0.030110 0.047557
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.004043 0.005870 0.008552 0.012880 0.019885 0.031136 0.051334
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003657 0.005429 0.008100 0.012538 0.019966 0.032349 0.055562
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003404 0.005165 0.007887 0.012542 0.020596 0.034531 0.061816
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003302 0.005122 0.008014 0.013109 0.022237 0.038668 0.072380
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003083 0.004872 0.007777 0.013026 0.022710 0.040735 0.079234
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002936 0.004725 0.007696 0.013202 0.023666 0.043820 0.088686
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002716 0.004447 0.007381 0.012949 0.023830 0.045483 0.095638
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002591 0.004323 0.007324 0.013172 0.024960 0.049287 0.108225
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002441 0.004141 0.007147 0.013142 0.025573 0.052089 0.119037
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002233 0.003839 0.006724 0.012588 0.025025 0.052279 0.123465
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002111 0.003683 0.006559 0.012528 0.025520 0.054879 0.134610
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002081 0.003695 0.006709 0.013128 0.027533 0.061314 0.157515
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001928 0.003462 0.006370 0.012667 0.027092 0.061775 0.163801
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001802 0.003274 0.006102 0.012331 0.026901 0.062834 0.172092
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001723 0.003170 0.005995 0.012335 0.027517 0.066048 0.187715
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001704 0.003185 0.006130 0.012892 0.029550 0.073339 0.218222
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.001625 0.003072 0.005991 0.012810 0.029975 0.076325 0.235309